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Queensland Road Crash Analysis

Temporal, spatial & severity dynamics of reported crashes across Queensland (2001–2024) highlighting peak risk periods & environmental drivers.

Python PostgreSQL EDA Seaborn Folium

Technology Stack

Python 3 Pandas NumPy PostgreSQL SQL Matplotlib Seaborn Folium Power BI Jupyter Git/GitHub

Interactive Power BI Dashboard

Login to Power BI may be required for full interactivity.

Interactive road crash analysis dashboard (Power BI)

1. Crashes by Day of Week

Friday highest (67,446) vs Sunday (45,785) → 47% differential guiding enforcement.

Crashes by day of week
Figure 1

2. Top Suburbs by Crash Count

Southport & Brisbane City dominate → focus mitigations in top decile suburbs.

Top suburbs crash counts
Figure 2

3. Crashes by Month

March peak vs January trough (~20% lower) → seasonal campaign timing.

Crashes by month
Figure 3

4. Yearly Crash Trends

2011 peak (23,525) → 2024 (6,943) ~70% decline; monitor plateau risk.

Yearly crash trend
Figure 4

5. Hourly & Daily Crash Hotspots

Peak 15:00–18:00 weekdays; Friday 17:00 highest → fatigue + congestion.

Heatmap crashes by day/hour
Figure 5

6. Daily Crash Patterns in Top Suburbs

Commercial districts show sharper Friday spikes → local signal/patrol tuning.

Daily pattern top suburbs
Figure 6

7. Factors Influencing Fatal Casualties

Speed & dark-unlighted conditions elevate severity → prioritize lighting & speed management.

Fatalities by speed
Speed
Fatalities by lighting
Lighting
Fatalities by day
Day

8. Geospatial Mapping of Recent Crashes

Arterial corridor clustering (Brisbane City >3k) → infrastructure risk audits.

Figure 7

9. Crashes by Atmospheric Condition

Clear weather dominates counts (exposure) → need rate normalization.

Crashes by atmospheric condition
Figure 8

10. Crashes by Lighting Condition

Daylight majority; dark-unlighted highest severity ratio → illumination upgrades.

Fatal casualties by lighting
Figure 9

Limitations

Future Work

Appendix: Full Narrative Detail

Extended explanatory commentary (hypotheses, findings & insights) for each analysis without re‑embedding images. Refer to preceding sections for visual references.

1. Day of Week

Hypothesis: Mid/late week elevated. Finding: Friday highest; Sunday lowest. Insight: 47% differential → targeted Friday enforcement.

2. Top Suburbs

Southport & Brisbane City dominate; concentrating engineering & patrol resources in top decile suburbs yields outsized reduction potential.

3. Seasonal (Month)

March peak vs January trough (~20%) indicates seasonal exposure; schedule campaigns in late Q1.

4. Long-Term Trend

~70% decline 2011→2024 signals systemic safety gains; monitor for plateau to avoid complacency.

5. Hourly Peaks

15:00–18:00 weekday concentration; Friday 17:00 extreme peak → combine fatigue messaging + traffic flow optimization.

6. Suburb Daily Patterns

Steeper late‑week surges in commercial districts; tailored signal timing & variable speed signage recommended.

7. Severity Factors

Higher posted speed & dark–unlighted environments elevate fatal expectation (3–4×) → prioritize lighting + speed management corridors.

8. Geospatial Clustering

Arterial & CBD lattice clusters justify infrastructure risk audits & corridor-level interventions.

9. Atmospheric Conditions

Clear weather dominates absolute counts (exposure). Need traffic volume integration to interpret true relative risk under adverse conditions.

10. Lighting Conditions

Dark–unlighted share smaller in volume yet disproportionately severe → LED retrofits & reflective surfacing high ROI.

Expanded Limitations

  • Reported crashes only (minor under‑reporting of low severity).
  • No exposure denominators (vehicle‑kilometres / AADT).
  • Exploratory correlations ≠ causation.
  • Temporal aggregation may mask holiday anomalies.

Future Enhancements

  • Integrate traffic sensor & AADT data.
  • Severity prediction (gradient boosting / ensembles).
  • Forecasting (SARIMAX / Prophet).
  • Network graph & spatial autocorrelation analysis.

Explore the Code

Python ETL scripts, feature engineering & visualization notebooks available in the repository.

View on GitHub
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